3/24/16
The learned narrative in the wake of the horrific
terrorist attacks in Paris and Brussels is that ISIS, having suffered massive setbacks on the battlefields of the Middle
East, is now funneling its operatives back to Europe in search of success
against softer targets.
There is probably much to this explanation for this
latest plague of terrorism infecting the Old World. However, look for the U.S. political
establishment of both parties, but especially of the GOP, which cannot abandon the Cold War mindset that has seemingly
taken up residence its DNA, to somehow blame Russia and Vladimir Putin
for Paris, Brussels, et. al. After all,
according to Republican, and Democratic, mythology, isn’t the real life Dr. Evil who currently inhabits the Kremlin behind everything that is
malodorous in the world?
Here’s how the explanation will go…
Yes, U.S. backed forces, especially the Kurds in Syria and, to a lesser extent, government forces in Iraq, have enjoyed some recent success
against ISIS. But most of the ISIS
setbacks have been inflicted by Syrian government forces backed by massive Russian airpower and special forces. Not bound by the Marquess of Queensberry rules that bind our military and those we
back, the Russians have turned the tide of the war in favor of their clients in
the Syrian government and have brought Syrian government forces to the gates of
Palmyra.
No one thinks the Russians have done this out of
altruism; they have an important client in the Assad regime and plenty of geographic
and cultural reasons to be at least as concerned about ISIS as we and our
European allies are. Still, one would think
that we would be grateful to the Russians for doing a large measure of the
anti-ISIS dirty work for us. But we’re
not. We keep hectoring the Russians to
abandon their interests (i.e., the continuation of the Assad regime and safeguarding their territory from the horrendous
designs of ISIS) and, instead, act like a good client state to us and join some
vaguely defined international crusade for democracy or some such starry-eyed
nonsense. To the surprise of no one
with even a vague understanding of Russian history, the Russian response has
been a resounding “Nyet,” doubtless accompanied by some off the camera snickers
about the naiveté and outright silliness of those in charge of American foreign
policy.
Now, however, that the Russians have, to use a technical
geopolitical term, kicked a lot of butt against ISIS, the terrorists are
gravitating away from the path of strong resistance toward the path of little
resistance, moving on to the soft targets of Europe and, maybe, the United
States. One can bet that the foreign policy
establishment, and especially that of the Cold War reminiscence choir in the
GOP, will blame the Russians. After
all, if the Russians had not been so tough on ISIS in Syria, the terrorists
would not have migrated to the West to wreak their havoc. If the Russians had only joined our
international non-effort, things would doubtless be better.
Yep; it’s the Russians alright.
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