Sunday, November 13, 2016

THAT WHICH DONALD TRUMP MUST DO HE MUST DO LATER

11/13/16

Of all the things Donald Trump said he would do when he became president, far and away the most important was the institution of term limits for Congress.   Term limits would forever alter the thinking of those who get elected to Congress and never find their way back home.  If a House member knew that he would eventually have to live with the laws that he passes, perhaps he would look at those laws and their consequences more carefully.   If a Senator knew that a career in politics were just about impossible, perhaps that career would not be the foremost thing in her mind and she would not be so desperate for the cash needed to sustain such a career…and not so willing to make the compromises with one’s principles that come attached to that money.  

Term limits would break, even destroy, the political careerist mindset, and it was the rejection of, and the revulsion at, the professional politicians and their condescending and usually misguided way of thinking that made Mr. Trump President-elect Donald Trump.   Therefore, the most important thing that Mr. Trump must do to deliver on his promises is not tax cuts, a border wall, a war on ISIS, renegotiation of trade deals or a sweeping reform of the regulatory structure in Washington.   Mr. Trump must work ardently and incessantly for term limits to be true to his candidacy, to those who made it successful, and to his political reason for being.

However…

Mr. Trump must wait, perhaps longer than any of us would like, to make the big push for term limits.   There are two reasons that Mr. Trump must move gingerly on what should be his most important policy initiative.   First, the chances of his actually achieving term limits are close to nil because such limits would have to be passed by people who would be voting themselves out of a job, certainly the best job they could ever have; it’s hard to beat making a highly remunerative living getting one’s hindquarters smooched.   Even if one were to grandfather all existing officeholders in a term limits proposal, the pols still would not go along with such a proposal; note the opposition among senior citizens to proposed changes to Social Security despite their being grandfathered in every serious Social Security reform proposal that has come down the pike.

Second, pushing for a term limits amendment, either through the Congress or through a Constitutional convention, would certainly antagonize the Congress.   While most of us have little problem antagonizing Congress, doing so makes no sense from a practical perspective if one wants to get things done.   If the Congress knows, rather than merely suspects, that Mr. Trump would like to throw them all out of office, their enthusiasm for working with him would doubtless wane.   Why antagonize people you will need, especially if antagonizing them is, from a practical perspective, pointless?

So as much as those of us who voted for Mr. Trump would consider his presidency a failure, and our votes as misguided, if he were to abandon term limits altogether, he ought to put such limits on the proverbial backburner.   He ought to first push for the easy things, the things on which he can gather bi-partisan support, like corporate tax reform and infrastructure spending.    Go for the relatively easy stuff, accumulate power and chits, develop a sense of inevitability and the pointlessness of resistance, then go for the big things.   The biggest of all the big things is term limits.   Achieving this goal may ultimately prove impossible, but making an honest, forthright, and vigorous pursuit of this perhaps quixotic goal would point out to many of us that Mr. Trump is indeed not a closet member of “the club” and has heard the calls and cries of those who are simply fed up with the political professional’s mindset and all the damage it has one to our once great nation.


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