Friday, October 4, 2019

DOUBLING DOWN ON CHICAGO’S CASINO GAMBLE


10/4/19

A consultant has told the city of Chicago and the state of Illinois that no private operator could make money on a Chicago casino under the onerous tax regime contained in the legislation laying the groundwork for such a gaming emporium.  

Judging from what I’ve been reading, the consultant is probably right.   Further, yours truly might be the last guy who is in favor of taxing anything heavily unless the real purpose behind such taxation is to wipe out the activity being taxed.   However, I think I have come up with a better approach to testing the viability of a casino under existing legislation.   

A couple of points:

First, yours truly realizes that there are pitfalls to my approach, the most salient of which is operators’ bidding with the sure expectation of, after having won the license, coming back after a short period of time asking for relief under threat of closing the place down. 

Second, since I wrote the below letter to the Chicago Sun-Times, 9th Ward Alderman Anthony Beale has come up with a proposal that involves awarding the license first and then having the licensee negotiate a better deal with the legislature.

The first point does not by any means invalidate my idea; protections can be written into the bidding process.   The second point provides at least a measure of credibility to an approach that does not simply accept the consultant’s report as the final word.

This letter, too, was not published, which isn’t surprising given that the Sun-Times publishes only two or three letters per day.   However, the letter is worth sharing with my growing readership:





9/22/19

As Rich Miller (Opinion, 9/22/19) points out, the tax rate set by lawmakers for a Chicago casino is “astoundingly high” and a consultant’s report concludes that it would be “nearly impossible” for an operator to make a profit under such a structure.  

However, rather than take the word of a consultant, wouldn’t a better approach be for the Lightfoot administration to solicit bids from casino operators under the current tax structure and see what happens?   If the city gets reasonable bids from experienced, competent operators under the existing tax structure, why should the revenue strapped city and state sweeten the deal for the operators?   If the process attracts no bidders, at least the Mayor can go to the legislature with concrete proof that the tax structure it has put in place is unworkable.  Perhaps the bidding process could be expanded to include the tax structure itself.

Soliciting bids, and perhaps bids even extending to the tax structure itself, would seem to at least be a truer test of the onerousness of the proposed tax structure than taking the word of consultant as holy writ.  

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